Tampa Bay Rays
The Wild AL Wild Card
By: TJ Hartnett
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
Well, here we are again. In what seems like an increasingly annual tradition, the Tampa Bay Rays are making a run at the MLB playoffs.
Indeed, it feels like I’m writing an article about the unexpected contention and postseason push of that love-able overlooked and under-dogged Rays every September.
This is no different (the Rays are over 90 wins with a week to play and are currently tied for the second American League Wild Card spot) but there are a few extra wrinkles this year. Particularly, how close the three-team Wild Card race is in the junior circuit this year.
Entering the second to last weekend of the regular season, Tampa Bay is tied with the Cleveland Indians for the second Wild Card slot, two games behind the Oakland A’s.
All three clubs are on good-to-great tears right now, with Oakland in particular smoking hot, having won 9 of their last 10 contests.
With three teams so closely competing for two postseason berths, there are a number of different ways this could shake out for Tampa Bay.
The simplest (and, assumedly, preferred by the team) assurance of a longer season is for the Rays to win one of the two spots outright. They get that one-game Wild Card playoff and they’re off to the races.
Tying with either Oakland and/or Cleveland (and/or Minnesota, which is mathematically still possible) is where things get complicated and interesting.
If one team were to fall off and the Rays tied with, say, Oakland, then whoever won the season series would be the host team in the Wild Card Game (Tampa would visit the A’s in this scenario, having lost the season series 3-4). That one is fairly simple as well.
The real fun begins when you think of the likelihood that two teams end up tied for the second Wild Card spot.
If Tampa and Cleveland end the season dead even but still behind Oakland, they would play a one-game play-in contest (which Tampa would host, as they won the season against the Indians 6-1), the winner of which would go on to the Wild Card Game in Oakland.
If all three teams have identical records on Sunday, things get very tricky. Oakland, having the highest winning percentage against the two other teams, would get to choose to be designated Team A, Team B, or Team C. Tampa, having the next highest winning percentage, would choose between the remaining to designations, and Cleveland would be assigned the remainder.
Team A would play Team B, with the winner moving on to the Wild Card Game. The loser of that game would then play Team C for the second Wild Card spot.
The question then becomes: what would Oakland prefer? Team A gets two chances, sure, but Team C gets a day off and wouldn’t need to prepare for the possibility of three straight days of must-win games (four, really, counting what is sure to be an intense final day of the season that leads to this mess).
Tampa, getting to choose second in this scenario, makes essentially the same choice: choose designation B and give yourself the chance for redemption if they lose the first game; or designation C, where they could potentially line up the likes of Charlie Morton to carry the burden of the season.
I’ve always been a supporter of the second Wild Card and the implementation of the one-and-done Wild Card Game.
It’s like having a pair of Game 7s to kick off the postseason every year. This year, with a tightly contested race for the AL Wild Card spots, we’ve got a possibility of seeing four such games.
That’s probably not the way the Rays would like things to shake out, but as a baseball fan, it’s hard to root against it.
Opening Act
By: TJ Hartnett
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
The Tampa Bay Rays find ways to win. That has been their modus operandi since they dropped the “Devil” and changed their color scheme.
Without much in the way of payroll and in a consistently competitive division, along with some giant franchises like the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox, the Rays have always scrapped, scratched and clawed their way to September and even October from time to time over the past 11 years.
Last season was no different, though one of their bold strategies has courted no little amount of controversy – the “Opener.”
If you have not been following the Rays, the Opener is basically – as you might imagine – the opposite of a Closer.
“But TJ! Isn’t a starter the opposite of a closer?” You might ask. You might very well think that – but an Opener is something a little more specific and a little more parallel to what a Closer does at the end of a game.
Basically, when reliable pitchers like Blake Snell aren’t starting a game, Rays manager Kevin Cash begins the game with an Opener; a relief pitcher in any other context who is slotted in as the starting pitcher but is only ever expected to pitch an inning or two.
Then another pitcher comes in to eat up innings and hopefully (since the “starter” would not have pitched the requisite five innings) pick up the win.
Tampa started using this strategy in May of last year, starting with veteran closer Sergio Romo but primarily using pitchers Ryne Stanek and Hunter Wood in the role. Then guys like Ryan Yarbrough would enter the game and (ideally) shoulder the bulk of the work.
It was 2018, so obviously reaction and opinion on this strategy was divided, though Tampa’s success can hardly be argued against.
Their ERA dropped after they started using Openers, and had the team not played in a division that saw not one but two 100-game winners, they would very likely have seen the playoffs again.
The past few weeks in particular have seen a rise in anti-Opener rhetoric from Major Leaguers in particular, including Giants ace Madison Bumgarner, who said he would leave the ballpark if San Francisco manager Bruce Bochy tried to use an opener before MadBum entered the game.
More damningly, Bumgarner’s teammate and fellow pitcher Jeff Samardzija called the concept of the Opener “a load of crap” in an interview with the San Francisco Chronicle. He also criticized the Rays’ pitchers for what he perceived as their lack of “moxie” in failing to push back and demand that they go seven innings.
The irony in the vitriol coming from Samardzija is that the Giants won a paltry 75 games in 2018, 15 less than the Rays, who sat at 90. This is not to mention the fact that the Giants hurler has managed a 22-31 record in his three seasons in San Fran with an ERA of 4.33 – much higher than the 3.97 ERA posted by Tampa Bay’s Openers last year.
The Rays have made it clear that they aren’t turning away from the Opener and after Snell, Charlie Morton, and Tyler Glasnow, Kevin Cash will indeed be penciling in a pitcher to throw just an inning or two.
Despite the negative reaction from some players, the notion has actually been spreading.
The Milwaukee Brewers opened up a game in the NLCS by have having Wade Miley throw to just one batter and the Oakland A’s put their entire season on the line in the AL Wild Card Game by using Liam Hendricks as an Opener.
The new General Manager of the Giants, Farhan Zaidi, even said that his team might consider adopting the practice when it makes sense. Though I get the sense that it will be over Bumgarner’s and Samardzija’s dead bodies.
The Curious Case Of Corey Dickerson
By: TJ Hartnett
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
The Tampa Bay Rays must know something about Corey Dickerson that they are not sharing with the world.
Perhaps they have information proving that he was the mastermind behind the Bernie Madoff scandal. That remains to be seen, but for some unknown reason Tampa Bay designated their All-Star leadoff hitter for assignment on Saturday after they acquired first baseman CJ Cron from the Los Angeles Angels.
To clue in the casual baseball fan, a MLB’s Major League 25-man roster is culled from a 40-man roster, where they ostensibly keep their 40 best players, including minor leaguers who aren’t protected from the Rule 5 draft (which is a whole different thing, just Google it).
Fourty is max, so if a team like the Rays has 40 players on that roster and acquire someone else without trading away one of those 40, then they have to maneuver in some way to make room.
This can range from putting someone on the disabled list to, as Tampa Bay has done with Dickerson, designate someone for assignment.
Basically, they’ve put themselves in a position where they will either need to make another trade or release Dickerson altogether.
The reason this is a little crazy is because despite a second half dropoff in 2017, Corey Dickerson finished the year with a batting average of .282 and 27 home runs or, for the sabermetrically inclined, he clocked in with an OPS of .815 and an OPS+ of 120.
In other words, he had a very good season. I mentioned he was an All-Star; he actually started the game at DH over the likes of Nelson Cruz; such was the season he was having in the first half.
However, the Rays have essentially declared that they don’t see a need for him in 2018. So, again, I can’t see how this makes sense unless the Rays know something we, the prone-to-snap-judgements public, don’t know.
It’s curious because if they weren’t interested in retaining Dickerson’s services, he would have been a clear candidate for a trade. Now if they want to trade him, they’ve worked against themselves. Any interested party could conceivably just wait it out and see if the Rays just release him outright. Then they’ll just need to spend money to pick him up, instead of spending prospects.
I can’t imagine it getting to that point. In fact, I have to assume (or hope?) that Tampa has got something up their sleeve.
Maybe they’ve already got a trade for Dickerson in place that will reveal itself in the coming days. Possibly they have some other trade coming down the pipeline that will free up a space on the 40-man so that Dickerson can be placed back on it. This seems unlikely, because why risk a player the likes of Dickerson in this particular situation? It’s feasible, since the Rays have 10 days to reinstate him, just improbable.
Were the Rays really that concerned about Dickerson’s second half slump? I’ll grant you that it was more in line with his first season in Tampa and that the All-Star first half of 2017 is more of an outlier of his time in Florida, but his numbers would still be appealing to someone looking for a DH or outfielder.
Or is it something more sinister? Could it be that Corey Dickerson is harboring a dark secret and the Rays discovered it? Fangraphs.com’s Jeff Sullivan seems to think so, tweeting “this move makes plenty of sense when you recall that Corey Dickerson is the zodiac killer” after the news broke.
Whatever the case, this story is just breaking, so stay tuned to The Southern Sports Edition for any news about the Rays’ plans. Or Corey Dickerson’s crimes, maybe.
Rays Still Swimming
By: TJ Hartnett
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
From 2008 to 2013, the Rays were a consistently good team. They made the playoffs in four of those six years, including a World Series berth against the eventual champs, the Phillies in 2008.
In the three seasons since, it has been a rougher go for Tampa Bay. This year appears like it may shake out no differently. They’re too far back in the division to be anything other than a headache to the Red Sox and Yankees ahead of them, both of which have been holding onto playoffs slots for dear life.
However, that doesn’t mean that Tampa should be written off completely. They are in the hunt for the second wild card spot. They have two teams between them and, at the moment, Minnesota.
They just need to scrap and fight and claw and, of course, win. They also need to stay healthy. Middle of the season injuries to Colby Rasmus and Kevin Kiermaier have crippled the team’s potential in 2017.
They also need to play at least to their base level. Evan Longoria in particular needs to reach a consistent level of production in September for this snowball in hell not to melt.
The second wild card has changed the game so much (for the better), making teams that would be done for the year still competitive this late in the season. Having two wild card spots keeps so many clubs in the hunt and it alone is keeping the Rays’ ambitions alive.
It’s still not an entirely likely scenario; Tampa reaching that wild card game, since they’ll have to leapfrog three teams to get in but it’s not impossible.
Unfortunately, it leaves a lot in the hands of those three clubs. They need to lose while Tampa wins. On the bright side, the Angels are the only team ahead of the Rays that they don’t play in September.
Tampa hosts the Twins starting on Monday as well as playing a road and a home series against Baltimore in the coming weeks. They’ll have to make strong statements in those 9 games and by that I pretty much mean win ALL of them. Then pray those teams lose some more to others as well.
For the sake of covering all that there is to cover, the Rays also have a road series and a home series against the team currently holding the first wild card spot; the division rival Yankees.
Now this doesn’t mean that they’ve got a shot at getting to that first spot (though mathematically they of course do), but it is another team with a better record that they’ll need to play well against to not dash those playoff dreams.
Basically, they’ve got a lot of sway in their own destiny. Not as much as I’m sure they would like, but with 16 games against teams ahead of them in the standings, the schedule couldn’t do much more for them.
At the end of the day, they are still a long shot for a playoff spot but it’s a position they’ve thrived in before. Even during that six year run where they were consistently contending, they seemed to constantly either have their back against the wall or just flat out get overlooked. Overlooking this team could spell doom for their opponents.
Tampa is always the underdog and that’s the role they shine in. Their incredible game 162 in 2011, coming back from 7-0 to win in 12 innings stands as a testament to what this team has accomplished with their back against the wall.
That certainly is the case as September baseball gets underway in 2017. So, Tampa, what have you got to show us this year?
Rays Have Sting Back
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
As the trade deadline approaches, teams begin to look around at who might be available to help them down the stretch.