Matt Ryan
In The Pocket
By: JJ Lanier
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
Over the past few years, I feel like I’ve been living in my own personal Groundhog Day when it comes to NFC South quarterbacks; it has become a yearly ritual to write about how the division has the best collection of QB’s in the NFL.
Yet, it never fails that either Matt Ryan will have a down year, or Cam Newton will get injured, or Jameis Winston will, well, be Jameis Winston.
You’d think at some point I would learn my lesson, but apparently this isn’t that time because here I am writing about how our area should once again be privy to the best overall quarterback play of any division in football.
The one constant at quarterback in the NFC South has been Drew Brees. As much as many of us want to talk about Tom Brady’s ability to play at a high level for the better part of two decades- and I’ll be doing just that soon enough- you could argue Brees has been even better.
Over the past three seasons Brees has thrown for an average of 3,768 yards and just over 27 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and that’s with him missing five games last season.
If this season happens to be Brees’ finale, there’s been recent speculation that is the case, I don’t expect it to be because of his on-field play.
Matt Ryan certainly hasn’t been a bad quarterback, just a bit of an inconsistent one. In his defense, a good portion of the blame can be attributed to the coaching changes the Falcons have had on the offensive side of the ball, but not all.
Ryan followed up underwhelming seasons in ‘15 and ‘17 with two of his best seasons in ‘16 and ‘18. If he continues along that pattern, 2020 should be a very promising season. (It’s smart to base a prediction solely off something as menial as patterns, right?)
Even though Tom Brady showed signs last season that his play could be regressing, he’s still an upgrade over Jameis Winston.
When you combine Bruce Arians coaching with the level of talent the Buccaneers have on the offensive side of the ball, Tampa Bay seems like a fairly obvious choice for Brady to have landed.
Mix that in with the former Patriots penchant for giving all his doubters the middle finger while outperforming expectations, would you be all that surprised if he turned in MVP type numbers this year? At this point, I’d almost be more surprised if he didn’t.
To me, the x-factor in this whole thing is Teddy Bridgewater. Before Bridgewater’s horrific injury that cost him a few seasons, he had one of the more promising futures of quarterbacks in the league.
But he had missed the better part of three seasons before stepping in for an injured Brees last season. The good news for Bridgewater is he performed well in Brees’ absence and many of the things Cam Newton struggled with- accuracy, pocket awareness, decision making- are some of Bridgewater’s strengths.
The bad news is the Panthers offensive line is still awful and as a team, I expect them to really struggle.
So, just to clarify, my prediction is based on one quarterback playing well because it’s an even year, two quarterbacks in their 40’s, and one who has thrown a grand total of 221 passes over the last four seasons.
Maybe this should’ve been the season I learned from my past mistakes.
Catching Dollars
By: TJ Hartnett
GeorgiaSportsEdition.com news services
Julio Jones has two years left (and over $21 million) on the five year, $71.25 million contract extension that he signed with the Atlanta Falcons in August 2015, but that hasn’t stopped his contract situation from being in the headlines across both Atlanta and the National Football League.
That’s because Julio thinks he’s earned himself a raise. This is not news, as prior to the 2018 campaign there, were rumors abound of Julio holding out during the preseason.
It didn’t shake out that way, with the Falcons moving some money around and taking better care of the star wide receiver for the year. A $2.8 million raise will get most anyone to show up for work.
And Jones showed up in 2018, leading the league with 1,677 receiving yards on 113 catches and 8 touchdowns. His 10 100-yard games set a franchise record for most such games in a single season.
So, the question that now faces the Arthur Blank and the Atlanta Falcons is this: how much money should be thrown at Julio Jones? He’ll be 30 when next season starts. So, should they make him the NFL’s highest paid receiver?
There are plenty of indicators that the Falcons are willing to open up the checkbook for their young cornerstone. Blank himself has mentioned that he’d like to “take care” of the players that deserve it, specifically name-dropping Julio.
For the sake of comparison, New York Giants’ star Odell Beckham Jr. is leading the wide receiving charge at a hefty $18 million average per year, nearly $4 million above Julio’s current average, which sits at 11th highest.
There’s a chance that Julio could ask for well over Beckham’s price, even flying past $20 million average per year with $70 million guaranteed, also higher than Beckham’s number.
Jones’ teammate Matt Ryan was briefly the highest-paid quarterback in the league, thanks to a huge five year deal he signed last year that was ultimately surpassed by the contract Aaron Rodgers inked with Green Bay. So, we know that Atlanta will pony up when they think it’s deserved.
Plus, they’ll likely have the salary cap space in 2019 to get Jones past Beckham if they want. Julio, for his part, has said numerous times that being the highest paid isn’t his goal, just to get paid what he’s worth. But that may mean the same thing.
It took Julio just 104 games to accumulate 10,000 yards, the fastest in the history of the NFL. He’s also got “first receiver to have five 1,400-yard seasons” on his resume, to supplement the six Pro Bowl selections he’s already racked up. And he’s shown no indication of slowing down.
In fact, his league-leading yard total is all the more impressive given his battles with injuries in 2018.
2019 should shape up to be a success for Julio as well. We don’t know who he’ll be working with on the sidelines after the Falcons fired offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, but even under Sark – an oft-maligned OC – Julio still produced huge numbers.
Whoever the Falcons find to fill that role shouldn’t affect the massive pay day coming in Julio’s direction.
Whether or not he rises to meet or exceed the record for players at his position, the Falcons seem ready to pay Julio and that’s good. He’s a crucial part of the Falcons’ offense, and even though that unit as a whole hasn’t consistently impressed since the record-setting 2016 season, Julio is a major asset to the team.
There are also negative implications if Atlanta tries to underpay or lowball Jones, who has shown willingness to advocate for himself but that seems like an unlikely outcome.
Julio Jones is going to get the money he deserves before too long. The question is: how much is that?
Falcons To Soar
By: TJ Hartnett
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
The only team from the NFC South that has made the playoffs the last two seasons, the Falcons are locked and loaded to make another run at that elusive Super Bowl victory.
They will face plenty of challenges from the rest of the improved division but they have the tools to be a force in 2018.
They have some questions as well. With training camp rapidly approaching, let’s take a look at where the Falcons stand now.
First off, the biggest news of the offseason was Matt Ryan’s massive contract extension. Matty Ice inked the richest contract in the history of the NFL to the tune of $150 million. That kind of contract tends to come with an added level of pressure.
However, as his nickname suggests, Ryan will likely be able to go about his business without it weighing too heavily on him. He’s still the elite quarterback the Falcons need to lead their charge.
On less sturdy ground at the moment is Julio Jones. He has been a no-show at all of Atlanta’s offseason preparation events so far in 2018, due to an ongoing contract dispute.
While there is no real reason to doubt that this will be an issue that blows up to the point that Jones ends up in a different jersey, there might be cause for concern with all the time he’s missing.
He may be the best wide receiver in the NFL right now but he also had a year in which he only scored three times and that was after missing significant offseason time with an injury.
A player of his caliber might not necessarily need the practice reps to be good to go for the season but you have to wonder how well he’ll be used if he’s not around to train.
From that we come to Steve Sarkisian. Sark was the scapegoat for a lot of people who saw the Falcons underperform the year after a Super Bowl appearance and it is certainly true that the record-breaking 2016 offense took a step backward.
Despite a lot of noise calling for his head, Sark is going to get another chance to move the stellar offensive pieces he has at his disposal into position in which they can win.
Coaches, and especially offensive coordinators, can get too much blame when things go badly and too much praise when things go well. Sark has got too much talent on his hands to not be overly praised for their success in 2018.
Something to keep an eye on at training camp and the season draw closer is the health of Devonta Freeman. Two concussions and an injury to his knee took their toll on him last season and to put a cherry on top he tore his MCL and PCL in the last game before going into the playoffs.
All signs point to him healing quickly and being ready for the start of the season but having such an injury-plagued campaign in 2017 is concerning and something to be monitored.
On the other side of the ball, drafting Calvin Ridley did not shore up the defense, and the lack of depth at linebacker is still a concern.
De’Vondre Campbell and Deion Jones are a strong duo but beyond the two of them are question marks on question marks.
Duke Riley will likely start the season’s early games and he showed last year that he was still a work in progress.
The defensive side of the Falcons’ game as been a concern for a while now and while the offense can shoulder a lot, the issues of stopping the other teams will likely continue.
There is plenty to be excited about as the end of July nears, especially for a Falcons team that expects and should be expected to make the playoffs a third consecutive time.
Who Is To Blame For Falcons’ Loss
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If you’re a Falcons fan, it’s going to take you awhile to get over this one. Fortunately, or unfortunately depending on how you want to you look at it, you haven’t had to deal with this type of anguish very often, so here are some tips that I hope will be helpful over the next few days.
For starters, you need to be angry. I’m not talking “they put extra pickles on my burger” type rage. No, I’m talking about DMX “It’s Dark and Hell is Hot” kind of fury. There are a lot of different angles you can direct your anger towards, but if I were you I’d start with Kyle Shanahan.
Overall, Shanahan has been the best Offensive Coordinator this year. I mean, there’s a reason he’s about to become the 49ers head coach, and deservedly so. However, I’m not 100% percent convinced he didn’t hop on a plane to San Francisco once the 4th quarter started.
The play calling during those last few possessions were downright atrocious. I respect keeping the foot on the gas and going for the jugular (or whatever other common sports vernacular you want to put in there), but Shanahan has to shoulder this loss as much, if not more, than anyone.
You could also blame the defense and the fact they gave up 31 points in what amounted to just over a quarter of play, but you knew Brady wasn’t going to be held in check for the whole game. You may also want to rant a little about the overtime rules, although, and I hate to beat a dead horse of this one, it’s hard to argue too much when you had to allow 25 unanswered points just to get to overtime.
After you finish stage one and release all that pinned up anger, sit back and realize what Atlanta accomplished this season. They went from a team that basically no one picked to even make the playoffs, and turned it into arguably the most successful season in franchise history.
Matt Ryan proved idiots like me wrong and showed himself to be a legitimate Top 5 quarterback in the league. Your running game and defense surpassed everyone’s expectations. And you probably have one of the best, if not the best, collection of receivers and tight ends in the NFL. It’s tough to see right now, but the Falcons had one hell of season and you should be proud.
Now, once you complete reflection time, the last stage is to look ahead to next year. Sure, you’re losing Shanahan, and it looks like your quarterback coach may be following suit, but you have a great collection of young players at vital positions, who are bound to improve from this season to next. If your team can stay healthy, they should be able to make a run again next year.
Of course, the Super Bowl runner-up doesn’t always seem to have much success the following year- just ask any Carolina fan how that feels- so Atlanta does have some history to overcome.
I know things look bleak now, and it will probably take a few months to get over this loss, and that assuming you even can. I’m not going to lie, you’ve got a tough road ahead. If what I’ve mentioned doesn’t help you though, then know this- most of America is on your side. We all despise the Patriots.
The Falcons Fly To Super Bowl
By: JJ Lanier
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
There is an episode of Scrubs where Dr. Cox sings to JD; “Wrong wrong wrong wrong. Wrong wrong wrong wrong…..You’re wrong….You’re wrong….You’re wrong.” I mention this for two reasons.
First off, I try to take any opportunity I can to throw in a Scrubs reference. Second, and most importantly, that whole sequence may as well have been directed at me and just about every single prediction I’ve had for the Falcons throughout the year.
Before the season started I figured the Falcons would be lucky to finish the year at 9-7, and I certainly didn’t expect them to sniff the playoffs. I was wrong.
I wrote an entire story about Matt Ryan and whether or not he was worthy of being the number three pick in the draft. I’ve always thought he was a good quarterback, but I didn’t believe that he would be able to lead a team to the Super Bowl. Little off on that one, wouldn’t you say?
I had a little to zero confidence that Atlanta’s backfield would have any type of positive impact on their offense. Nobody’s going to mistake Devonta Freeman or Tevin Coleman for elite running backs, but both are much better than I’ve given them credit for, and they are perfect for this particular system.
I patiently waited for the Ryan/Shanahan relationship to quietly, or not so quietly, implode. It never happened.
I knew Dan Quinn would have the defense playing better, but I assumed they would just continue to be an afterthought. I halfway expected them to be detrimental to the Falcons over the course of the season. Granted they’re not the ‘86 Bears, but they are anything but an afterthought.
Even though I thought this year’s team was better than last years, I just knew that 4-1 start wasn’t going to last. After the Falcons dropped their next two games I almost wrote about that very thing. After winning 9 of their 11 remaining games since that time, I’m glad I kept my mouth shut.
Even after being wrong on all those things I just listed, and having a much greater appreciation for what Atlanta had accomplished this year, I still picked them to lose to Green Bay. I don’t think they’d be able to pull it off. It’s a good thing I don’t gamble.
In fact, the only time this year I’ve actually been right about the Falcons was their playoff game against Seattle. And truth be told, my picking Atlanta had more to do with my lack of confidence in the Seahawks than it did the Falcons.
Putting all my horrible prognostications aside, I’m happy for Atlanta. Participating in the Super Bowl is always a huge deal, but when you look at this franchise over the last two decades, this trip is all that much sweeter.
There was the blowout loss to the Broncos in ‘99. The rise and complete collapse of Michael Vick. Multiple seasons of mediocrity and underachieving. And lest we forget- and I don’t think I need to delve any deeper than these two words- Bobby Petrino.
Regardless of the outcome on February 5th, this season has been a success for Atlanta. They have surpassed basically everyone’s expectations and are more than deserving of being the NFC representative.
If you happen to be wondering, or even care, who I’m picking to win the big game, let me ask you this: After everything I’ve just written, do you really want me to start rooting for the Falcons now?
Falcons vs Packers Preview
By: JJ Lanier
TheSouthernSportsEdition.com news services
So, here we are. After 17 weeks of the regular season, plus another two weeks in the playoffs, we finally arrive at the NFC championship game with the two teams we all thought would be there from the beginning: the Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons?
Well, I’m sure some people thought the Packers would be here, but I doubt anyone outside of the most optimistic Falcon’s fan thought that Atlanta would. Of course, I don’t really think Atlanta cares all that much-as they say “that’s why they play the game”.
It’s going to be pretty easy to look back to the Falcons week eight matchup against the Packers in preparation for the NFC championship game, which would make some sense. For one, it was a tremendous game. But, almost more importantly, it was around that time that both team’s seasons really took off.
The Falcons were in the midst of trying to prove to themselves, as well as the rest of the country, there would not be a repeat of last season’s collapse. Rodgers’ game on the other hand, while he played great against Atlanta, was in the middle of its own “Where’s Waldo” saga.
Since that game Atlanta’s offense has been arguably one of the best in the league and Ryan has put up MVP type numbers. The only other quarterback and team that has come close to matching them; Rodgers and the Packers.
If you’re looking for defense you may want to YouTube videos of ESPN’s “Jacked Up” because you won’t find much of it in this game. I’m halfway expecting to see Sterling Sharpe and Brian Finneran’s name show up in the box score.
The best approach to slowing down both of these offenses is ball control and doing everything you can to keep their respective offense off the field. Well, since that is how neither of these teams play, and it is certainly not in their best interest to do so, I really have no idea what to tell you on how to stop them. It’s kind of one of those “You can’t stop them, you can only hope to contain them” type games.
For this reason, and this reason only, is why I give the Packers a slight edge. I mean absolutely no disrespect to Matt Ryan at all- I think he is having the best season of his career and is more than deserving of the MVP- but right now nobody is playing better than Rodgers. At this point I just trust him a little more than I trust Ryan.
I’m thrilled for the fact that Atlanta is getting to host the game, particularly this season. The Falcons will have to make sure they use home field to their advantage though because I don’t necessarily think it will be a disadvantage to Green Bay, if that makes any sense. The Packers have been in this type situation before and I just don’t see the pressure of playing on the road affecting them all that much.
Their initial meeting this season was one of the better games I saw all year. Since both teams are currently playing at an even higher level I fully expect this one to be just as good, if not better.
Neither of these teams may have been popular choices at the beginning of the season to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, but whoever comes away with the win on Sunday will certainly have earned it.
Best QB Division In NFL?
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When it comes to sports, it feels like we have a statistic for just about everything. Such and such is shooting this particular percentage from beyond the arc in the right corner. This particular batter has a certain batting percentage when there are two on two out, facing a left handed batter. That team has a record of whatever when playing on the third Sunday of the month of the season, on the road, against a divisional opponent, when the game is at 4:00 and nationally televised.
For the most part, all the stats that teams take a lot of stock in are useful, but to me, nothing beats the eye test. So, I am going to attempt to write about why I think the best collection of quarterbacks in the NFL currently reside in the NFC South, without using a single stat to back it up.
To start with, let’s go ahead and eliminate the obvious divisions that are inferior when it comes to the overall play of their QB’s: NFC West (Rams and 49ers), NFC North (Bears), and the AFC North (Browns).
That’s not to say there isn’t some fantastic quarterback play coming from those divisions. It’s just that when you’re receiving the type of craptastic play those teams I mentioned are giving, you can’t really argue they’re stronger than the NFC South.
The next two divisions that won’t make it past the second round are the AFC East and AFC South. The East has arguably the best quarterback in NFL history with Tom Brady, but Fitzpatrick is playing like the guy nobody wanted to pay this offseason; Tannehill is inconsistent, and Taylor’s play gets me about excited as watching Once Upon A Time with my better half.
As for the South, I like Luck, Mariota, and Bortles, but I’m not sold on Osweiler. Throw in Blake’s disappointing season so far, and they’ll be getting their “Thanks for playing” card in the mail any day now. I will say this though, in another three years or so you may not find better quarterback play than in the AFC South.
Now, if my math is correct that leaves only two divisions left: AFC West and NFC South. I like all the quarterbacks in the West, but Winston, Brees, Newton, and Ryan are better than anyone Denver or Kansas City can throw out there. Carr is probably the only one I’d halfway consider taking over any NFC South quarterback, and that would probably be just Winston.
The NFC East is the only division I think comes all that close. Prescott and Wentz have both surprised me with how quickly they have adjusted to the league and look like they are going to be around for a while.
Cousins seem to be able to play the part, but there’s just something about him that prevents me completely buying in. And as much as I have rooted for Eli over the years, his statute of limitations for his two Super Bowls has about run out. He can still be an effective quarterback, but as of right now, he’s probably the worst of the four. Ok, maybe they’re not as close as I thought.
When they’re all on their game, the NFC South has three of the top quarterbacks in the NFL (yes, this year I’m including Ryan in the conversation) and a young QB with tremendous upside. They may not be the league’s strongest quartet down the road, but for right now they are. If you don’t believe me, I’m sure there are some stats out there to prove my point.
Falcons Flying Above Expectations
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After Week 5 there are some surprise teams in the NFL.
Minnesota is undefeated with Sam Bradford at quarterback and a historically great defense. Oakland and Dallas are 4-1. Atlanta is another team with a surprise 4-1 record. The question is are they legit?
Crazy NFC South
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The NFL loves its parity. It’s one of the things that has helped it thrive as a league over the years. Just about every fan base (sorry Cleveland, I’m not looking at you on this one) goes into the season with playoff aspirations and a sense that their team has it what it takes to make a run. It really is one of the beautiful things about the NFL.
Over the past decade the NFC South has taken that parity out to dinner, married it, bought it a house with a white picket fence, and introduced it to every actor/actress on its “If I ever meet this person I get to………” list.
So far this year doesn’t seem to be any different. I know it’s dangerous to look too much into any one game, but it’s hard not to walk away from the Falcons/Panthers game this weekend and see anything different than two teams headed in opposite directions.